Exit polls show Adilet party leading Kazakhstan's first Kurultai election

August 24, 2026 at 12:05 AM2 min

This digest was compiled by AI from multiple sources — links to the originals are below.

Exit polls from Kazakhstan's first Kurultai election on August 23, 2026 show the Adilet party leading with 70.7% to 72.3% of the vote. The Eurasian Integration Institute's poll, commissioned by Khabar Agency, surveyed 30,000 voters at 200 polling stations. Five parties appear to clear the 5% threshold, while the People's Party and Baytaq fall short.

Key Facts

The Eurasian Integration Institute's exit poll, commissioned by Khabar Agency, surveyed 30,000 voters at 200 polling stations across Kazakhstan's 20 regions.
The Adilet party leads with 71.8% in the Eurasian Integration Institute poll, while SOCIS-A shows 70.7% and the Public Policy Institute shows 72.3%.
Five parties clear the 5% threshold: Adilet, Auyl, Respublica, OSDP, and Ak Zhol, according to all three exit polls.
The People's Party of Kazakhstan received 2.8–3.2% and the Baytaq Green Party 0.9–1.2%, below the threshold.
Voter turnout reached 74.19% by 20:00, with 9,352,151 ballots cast.

Exit Poll Results

The Eurasian Integration Institute conducted its exit poll on August 23, 2026 at 200 polling stations across 20 regions, surveying 30,000 voters face-to-face after they cast ballots. The poll shows Adilet at 71.8%, Auyl at 6.4%, Respublica at 5.4%, OSDP at 5.2%, and Ak Zhol at 5.1%. The People's Party received 3.0%, Baytaq 1.0%, and 2.1% voted against all. SOCIS-A, commissioned by Zakon.kz, reported Adilet at 70.7%, Auyl at 6.4%, Respublica at 5.5%, Ak Zhol at 5.4%, and OSDP at 5.0%. The Public Policy Institute's exit poll showed Adilet at 72.3%, Auyl at 6.2%, Respublica at 5.2%, Ak Zhol at 5.1%, and OSDP at 5.0%.

Election Context

The Kurultai is a unicameral parliament with 145 deputies elected by party lists for five-year terms. Parties must receive at least 5% of the vote to enter the Kurultai. By 20:00 on August 23, 9,352,151 voters had received ballots, a turnout of 74.19%. The Central Election Commission will announce preliminary and final results.