World Bank forecasts 30% water deficit in Central Asia by 2050
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The World Bank forecasts a 30% water deficit in Central Asia by 2050 due to climate change. The region's water supply could drop by 15% while demand rises 40%. This threatens agriculture and energy production across Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, and Tajikistan.
Climate Impact on Water Supply
The World Bank report projects a 15% decline in water availability across Central Asia by 2050. Glacier melt in the Tien Shan and Pamir mountains, which feed the Syr Darya and Amu Darya rivers, is accelerating. This reduces river flow during the dry season, affecting irrigation for cotton and wheat.
Rising Demand and Economic Strain
Water demand in the region is expected to increase 40% by 2050, driven by population growth and agricultural expansion. Agriculture accounts for 80% of water use in Central Asia. The deficit could cost the region up to 1.5% of GDP annually, according to the Bank.
What's Next
The World Bank plans to present its findings at the Central Asia Water Summit in Almaty on September 15. It remains unclear whether regional governments will agree on joint water management measures.
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World Bank forecasts 30% water deficit in Central Asia by 2050
